ESPN Computer’s Updated Iowa Game-By-Game Predictions

first_imgIowa all-conference tackle Tristan Wirfs gets hyped up before a game with his Hawkeye teammates.IOWA CITY, IOWA- NOVEMBER 23: Offensive lineman Tristan Wirfs #74 of the Iowa Hawkeyes celebrates with teammates after their match-up against the Nebraska Cornhuskers on November 23, 2018 at Kinnick Stadium, in Iowa City, Iowa. (Photo by Matthew Holst/Getty Images)Iowa football enters Week 3 at 2-0, with perhaps its biggest rivalry game on deck. The Hawkeyes head to Ames for a showdown with 1-0 Iowa State.This edition of the Cy-Hawk game brings some extra juice as well. Ames will be the site of College GameDay for the first time ever.Per ESPN’s Football Power Index, Iowa football has a slight edge entering the game. The metric gives Iowa a 57.7-percent to knock off the Cyclones for a fifth straight year.Iowa owns a 44-22 all-time edge in the rivalry, which has been played annually since the late 1970s after a long layoff in the mid-20th Century. Per the FPI, Iowa is on track to finish with a projected record of 8.5-3.8. You can round that to 9-3, using the game-by-game percentages calculated by the system.Here are those individual game win percentage numbers:Sept. 14 – at Iowa State: 57.7-percent chance to winSept. 28 – vs. Middle Tennessee: 94.1-percentOct. 5 – at Michigan: 34.6-percentOct. 12 – vs. Penn State: 38.2-percentOct. 19 – vs. Purdue: 84.1-percentOct. 26 – at Northwestern: 73.4-percentNov. 9 – at Wisconsin: 27.8-percentNov. 16 – vs. Minnesota: 72.8-percentNov. 23 – vs. Illinois: 88.2-percentNov. 29 – at Nebraska: 65.8-percentFPI gives a 9.4-percent chance of Iowa winning the Big Ten Conference, and even a 0.2-percent chance of winning out. That would set up a likely showdown with Ohio State (with Michigan and Penn State each losing to Iowa in the regular season), in the title game, with the College Football Playoff on the line.I certainly wouldn’t bet on it, but yes Hawkeye fans, FPI is saying there’s a chance.[ESPN]last_img

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